DISCLAIMER: THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT I COULD BE WRONG.

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Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Once More unto the Breach...MGEX Edition

After having been shaken out of long MGEX/short KC and CBOT wheat positions two long weeks ago, once again I am grasping the high-protein, spring-planted MGEX and shorting the CBOT. Since I don't want to get pushed out of this position by mark-to-market misfortune, the positions are more modest this time. Also a bit farther out on the futures curve.

Pro: Very tight MGEX calendar spreads indicate little supply.
Con: Speculators covering short CBOT could drive that up faster. Also, a corn rally could drive CBOT up faster.

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